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Opinion and Analysis

[ANALYSIS] Could Turkey prohibit Russian warships from transiting the straits?

Fatih Yurtsever* Russian President Vladimir Putin, who amassed over 100,000 Russian troops around Ukraine in recent months but denied having any intention of invading the...

[ANALYSIS] The geopolitics of East Med natural gas: implications for Turkey’s foreign policy

Fatih Yurtsever* The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean natural gas resources in the eastern Mediterranean (East Med) area at 8.1 trillion...

[OPINION] Not the top court but Erdoğan will seal the fate of the pro-Kurdish HDP

Ali Yıldız* The Turkish Supreme Court of Appeals’ Chief Public Prosecutor Bekir Şahin on March 17, 2021 lodged a case for the closure of the...

[OPINION] Is Turkey sowing chaos in Libya?

Türkmen Terzi Libya has been on the verge of descending into another political crisis since the Tobruk-based House of Representatives appointed former interior minister Fathi...

[ANALYSIS] What is Russia’s actual intent in promulgating NOTAMS in the Black Sea?

Fatih Yurtsever* Tensions in the Black Sea are growing due to recent Russian naval activity. According to published NOTAMs covering February 13-19, 2022, Russia is...

[OPINION] The Armenian diaspora and Turkish nationalism keep Turkey’s door to Armenia closed

Türkmen Terzi Turkey and Armenia appointed special envoys to normalize bilateral relations last month, with the first round of negotiations taking place in Moscow...

[ANALYSIS] Will Montreux be applied to warships transiting the Istanbul Canal?

Fatih Yurtsever* Turkish Defense Minister Hulusi Akar reaffirmed Ankara's loyalty to the 1936 Montreux Convention, one of the founding treaties of today's Turkish Republic, which...

[OPINION] Normalization of relations with Israel: a lifesaver for Erdoğan?

Türkmen Terzi A statement by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on a planned visit to Turkey by Israeli President Isaac Herzog this month surprised...

[ANALYSIS] How the Russia-Ukraine crisis will impact the Montreux Convention

Fatih Yurtsever* The Russia-Ukraine crisis, which began with the Russian Federation's annexation of Crimea in 2014, has evolved into a Russia-NATO-US crisis. As NATO’s leading...

[OPINION] Does Turkey really want to ease tension between Russia and Ukraine?

Türkmen Terzi US and European leaders speak cautiously against Russia, which annexed Crimea in 2014 and is increasing its military deployment in the region...

[ANALYSIS] NATO needs Turkey’s submarine force to balance Russia in the Black Sea

Fatih Yurtsever* NATO and the United States are currently facing a crisis with Russia over Ukraine. Russia is demanding that Ukraine and Georgia not be...

[OPINION] Turkey and Russia on opposite sides over struggling Kazakhstan

Türkmen Terzi Kazakhstan, the largest country in Central Asia, has rarely made international headlines over the last 30 years. This changed in the past week with...

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