Erdoğan’s announcement of his ‘last election’ sparks speculation about possible changes to the law

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s remarks that the upcoming local elections on March 31 will be his “last,” which signaled a possible end to his more than two decades of dominance of Turkish politics, has sparked a flood of speculation, support and skepticism from allies, opponents and observers alike.

The announcement was made during a speech at the pro-government Turkish Youth Foundation (TÜGVA) on Friday. Erdoğan, who has been at the helm of Turkish politics since 2003, first as prime minister and then as president, expressed his belief that his Justice and Development Party (AKP) would continue to govern after his departure.

The 70-year-old leader’s statement was met with mixed reactions. AKP supporters shared emotional tributes on social media, expressing a sense of loss and gratitude for Erdoğan’s long tenure.

In contrast critics and some members of the opposition view this announcement with skepticism. They suspect it’s a strategic move to pave the way for changes in laws that could allow Erdoğan to retain his political influence or make a comeback.

Several social media users recalled Erdoğan’s previous statements about his political future, noting that this is not the first time he has hinted at taking a step back only to continue his political career. This pattern has led to speculation that the latest announcement could also precede a legislative or constitutional change that could allow Erdoğan to run for another term.

Deputy Parliament Speaker Bekir Bozdağ has further fueled speculation, saying that if parliament decides to hold new elections during Erdoğan’s current term in office, the president could legally seek a third term. This remark intensified discussions about possible legal maneuvers that could keep Erdoğan in the political arena.

According to the constitution, the president can only be elected for two five-year terms. Many were against Erdoğan announcing his candidacy in the May election and considered it unconstitutional.

Erdoğan was first elected in 2014, but he did not have the executive powers he has today. A constitutional referendum in 2017 turned the country into an executive presidency and thus expanded Erdoğan’s influence.

So according to his supporters and pro-government legal experts’ interpretation of the constitution, this is Erdoğan’s second and last term as president. Opposition parties have also been criticized for not legally challenging Erdoğan’s candidacy for re-election.